Statistics

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Satto investigates: Ideas for statistical analysis

[edit] Stat of the week: 2007-12-28

[edit] Liam Daish: Myth buster:

The folk-wisdom on the MyFC forums and on IRC is that The Fleet tend to give a lack-luster performance in the first half of a match. During the half-time break Liam Daish gives the players a rocket, adapts the formation, makes a substitution or two and they come out with renewed energy and better tactics to grab victory (or at least a draw) from the jaws of defeat.

According to the statistics this seems to be the pattern for most clubs: Since the start of the 2007 - 2008 season Conference League clubs have scored an average of five more goals during the second half of their matches than the first half. There are lots of reasons for this including the fact that in the second half players start to get tired and are more likely to make mistakes in defence.

However Liam Daish doesn't seem to have the same effect - in fact just four clubs in the Conference see no improvement in their second half performances. These are: Altrincham, Stafford Rangers, Northwich Victoria and Ebbsfleet (highlighted in orange in the table below).

Club	1st half goals	2nd half goals	Difference
Torquay United	22	34	12
Histon	12	24	12
Cambridge United	12	23	11
Kidderminster Harriers	12	22	10
Aldershot Town	20	29	9
Woking	7	15	8
Weymouth	11	19	8
Farsley Celtic	9	16	7
York City	14	20	6
Stevenage Borough	19	25	6
Average	13.71	18.75	5.04
Rushden & Diamonds	13	18	5
Burton Albion	18	23	5
Forest Green Rovers	21	25	4
Exeter City	19	23	4
Crawley Town	15	19	4
Salisbury City	15	18	3
Oxford United	11	14	3
Halifax Town	13	16	3
Droylsden	11	13	2
Grays Athletic	10	11	1
Northwich Victoria	9	9	0
Ebbsfleet United	13	13	0
Stafford Rangers	10	9	-1
Altrincham	13	12	-1

Standard deviation: 3.878. Thanks to Fleetbot for the stats